On December 6, Boeing Japan gave a presentation on the commercial aircraft market in Northeast Asia. The presentation was led by Darren Hulst, Vice President of Marketing, Commercial Aircraft Division.
The demand for new aircraft over the next 20 years, through 2042, is 42,595 worldwide. Of these, 76% (32,420) are expected to be single-aisle aircraft and 18% (7,440) twin-aisle aircraft, but the trend is somewhat different in Northeast Asia, including Japan and Korea. Of the 1,350 new aircraft demand, 790 are single-aisle aircraft and 520 are twin-aisle aircraft, indicating that demand for twin-aisle aircraft is relatively strong. In addition, 60% of existing aircraft in Northeast Asia will be replaced by more efficient and less environmentally hazardous aircraft.
The single aisle aircraft in the greatest demand in any market is Boeing’s equivalent of the 737 MAX family: since resuming operations in December 2020, 78 airlines worldwide have deployed 1,300 aircraft, operating 5,000 flights per day. demand for the 737 MAX has been particularly strong over the past two to three years, with 2,350 new orders for 737-7 The airline has received 2,350 new orders for 737 MAX aircraft ranging from 737-7s to 737-10s.
Closer to home, ANA, JAL, and Skymark have ordered 737-8 aircraft, with ANA ordering 30 (20 confirmed and 10 optional), JAL 21 (confirmed), and Skymark 6. ANA and Skymark will introduce the aircraft to routes from FY2025, and JAL from FY2026.
On the other hand, as for twin-aisle aircraft, as the trend in the Northeast Asian market indicates, twin-aisle aircraft are significant for Japan due to demand for transit through Japan.
The company’s mainstay 787 family of twin-aisle aircraft consists of three types, the 787-8, 787-9, and 787-10, which can cover 200 to 350 seats, and the number of orders for these aircraft has reached a record high of over 420 in the past 12 months. The 787-10, the longest fuselage type, is expected to be in demand in Japan as a replacement for the 777 on domestic routes.
Mr. Hulst reported that 64% of the world’s twin-aisle aircraft are Boeing, 71% of the twin-aisle aircraft in Northeast Asia are Boeing, and three out of four aircraft on order over the past three years are Boeing. In Japan, the 777X, a large twin-aisle aircraft, is scheduled to be delivered to ANA, the launch customer, in mid-2025.
© Source travel watch